Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.7% | 3.3% | -18.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San José State Spartans -11 (56-67). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Watson * | 38 | 9-18 | 5-11 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Jalen McDaniels * | 33 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Jeremy Hemsley * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Nathan Mensah * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Matt Mitchell * | 29 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Adam Seiko | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Nolan Narain | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Aguek Arop | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Steadman * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ashtin Chastain * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Noah Baumann * | 29 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Craig LeCesne * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Seneca Knight * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Brae Ivey | 31 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Zach Chappell | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Christian Anigwe | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter