Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -2 (74-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bittner * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Braxton Huggins * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Deshon Taylor * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 31 | - |
| Noah Blackwell * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Nate Grimes * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Christian Gray | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| New Williams | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Lazaro Rojas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Aguir Agau | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Mensah * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| A. Arop | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| A. Seiko | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter