Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.5% | 88.5% | +11.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +11 (78-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Carvacho * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 35 | - |
| J.D. Paige * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Masinton-Bonner * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Adam Thistlewood * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kendle Moore * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Hyron Edwards | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Kris Martin | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Logan Ryan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bittner * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Deshon Taylor * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 29 | - |
| New Williams * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Noah Blackwell * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nate Grimes * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 28 | - |
| Braxton Huggins | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Christian Gray | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
| Johnny McWilliams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Aguir Agau | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter