Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +6 (71-65). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justinian Jessup * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Alex Hobbs * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Derrick Alston Jr. * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Dickinson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| David Wacker * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - |
| RJ Williams | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Pat Dembley | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Zach Haney | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Malek Harwell | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Mensah * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Aguek Arop | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Adam Seiko | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter