Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.3% | 64.7% | +3.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +20 (93-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Hobbs * | 38 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Derrick Alston * | 37 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Justinian Jessup * | 33 | 7-16 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Dickinson * | 31 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Wacker * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Zach Haney | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Malek Harwell | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pat Dembley | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Cunningham | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ca. Martin * | 40 | 9-16 | 5-11 | 7-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 23 | - |
| J. Caroline * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Co. Martin * | 36 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| T. Thurman * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Porter * | 10 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson | 28 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Brown | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Henson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Zouzoua | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter