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2019-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 44.6% 55.4% -
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% -
Margin 40.3% 59.7% +2.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 75.9% 24.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.6% 15.4% -
Log Adjusted 84.6% 15.4% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos -1 (71-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Caroline * 39 5-10 2-4 3-5 13 2 0 2 7 15 15 -
Co. Martin * 39 7-11 1-2 1-2 0 4 1 0 0 16 10 -
C. Henson * 34 2-4 1-3 2-2 4 1 2 0 3 7 7 -
Ca. Martin * 18 3-11 3-11 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 10 1 -
T. Porter * 16 4-6 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 12 7 -
J. Johnson 31 4-6 2-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 10 8 -
T. Thurman 21 1-3 0-1 0-2 3 1 0 1 1 2 3 -
J. Brown 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Dickinson * 38 3-7 2-4 3-4 4 2 2 0 1 11 11 -
A. Hobbs * 37 8-14 1-4 2-2 7 1 1 0 1 19 13 -
J. Jessup * 31 7-15 2-7 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 17 5 -
Z. Haney * 20 1-6 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
RJ Williams * 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 2 -1 -
D. Alston Jr. 32 4-9 0-2 6-6 6 2 1 0 0 14 14 -
D. Wacker 20 0-0 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 1 3 3 2 -
P. Dembley 14 0-3 0-3 1-4 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 -

* = starter