Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✓ (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +24 (88-64). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Watson * | 36 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Jalen McDaniels * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jeremy Hemsley * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Schakel * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Matt Mitchell * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Adam Seiko | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nathan Mensah | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Aguek Arop | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nolan Narain | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joel Mensah | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ed Chang | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Dickinson * | 38 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Justinian Jessup * | 33 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Alex Hobbs * | 29 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| RJ Williams * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Zach Haney * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Alston Jr. | 29 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 10-12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 20 | - |
| David Wacker | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Malek Harwell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Pat Dembley | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter