Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +15 (66-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lavelle Scottie * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 26 | - |
| A.J. Walker * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| R. Swan * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Sid Tomes * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Keaton Van Soelen * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Caleb Morris | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Christopher Joyce | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Pervis Louder | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ameka Akaya | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Abe Kinrade | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| LeSean Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Mensah * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| A. Arop | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| A. Seiko | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
* = starter