Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +23 (87-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Walker * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Lavelle Scottie * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Sid Tomes * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Keaton Van Soelen * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Swan * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Pervis Louder | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ameka Akaya | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Christopher Joyce | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Abe Kinrade | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bryce Hughes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Thistlewood * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Kendle Moore * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 32 | - |
| J.D. Paige * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Nico Carvacho * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 41 | - |
| Anthony Masinton-Bonner * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kris Martin | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Hyron Edwards | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Logan Ryan | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sam Bannec | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jack Schoemann | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Robbie Berwick | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Zo Tyson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter