Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +6 (67-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Key * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Christian Williams * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Cooper Neese * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Barnes * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Bronson Kessinger * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Allante Holston | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Emondre Rickman | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| De'Avion Washington | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Clayton Hughes | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Dixon * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Kreklow * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Tulio Da Silva * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Keandre Cook * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Kabir Mohammed | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Jared Ridder | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter