Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -5 (82-87). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Key * | 42 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 15-17 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 28 | - |
| Cooper Neese * | 41 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Christian Williams * | 38 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Bronson Kessinger * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Barnes * | 24 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| De'Avion Washington | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Emondre Rickman | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Allante Holston | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Clayton Hughes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Sackey * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Derrik Smits * | 29 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Markus Golder * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Freeman * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Deion Lavender | 30 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Bakari Evelyn | 30 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jaume Sorolla | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mileek McMillan | 8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| John Kiser | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter