Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -12 (56-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Kreklow * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Jarred Dixon * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Tulio Da Silva * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Keandre Cook * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jared Ridder | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kabir Mohammed | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darian Scott | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marty Hill * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| K.J. Riley * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Shamar Givance * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| John Hall * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dainius Chatkevicius * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Evan Kuhlman | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Noah Frederking | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Shea Feehan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Devan Straub | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter