Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +23 (85-62). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Riley * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Marty Hill * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Evan Kuhlman * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| John Hall * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Noah Frederking * | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Shamar Givance | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Dainius Chatkevicius | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jawaun Newton | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Shea Feehan | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jared Chestnut | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Devan Straub | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Barnes * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Christian Williams * | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Tyreke Key * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Allante Holston * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Emondre Rickman * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Cooper Neese | 25 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| De'Avion Washington | 18 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Bronson Kessinger | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Clayton Hughes | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Huenermann | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyeshon Martin | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter