Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.7 | ✗ (21.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -14 (55-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Copeland * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Milik Yarbrough * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 31 | - |
| Matt Chastain * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Keyshawn Evans * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Phil Fayne * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 29 | - |
| William Tinsley | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Isaac Gassman | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Wilkins * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Garrett Sturtz | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter