Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +17 (70-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Freeman * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Markus Golder * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| John Kiser * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Daniel Sackey * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Derrik Smits * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Deion Lavender | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Bakari Evelyn | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Jaume Sorolla | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mileek McMillan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Key * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 31 | - |
| Christian Williams * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Allante Holston * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Barnes * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Emondre Rickman * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Cooper Neese | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Bronson Kessinger | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| De'Avion Washington | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tyeshon Martin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Huenermann | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter