Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Williams * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Barnes * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Tyreke Key * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Allante Holston * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Emondre Rickman * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cooper Neese | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Bronson Kessinger | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Clayton Hughes | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| De'Avion Washington | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Lohaus * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Luke McDonnell * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Trae Berhow * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Brown * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| AJ Green * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tywhon Pickford | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Spencer Haldeman | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 29 | - |
| Justin Dahl | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter