Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Dixon * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Obediah Church * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Keandre Cook * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tulio Da Silva | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Ryan Kreklow | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kabir Mohammed | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Darian Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 49 | - |
| S. Buchanan * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Tevin Brown * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Smith * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Brion Sanchious * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Darnell Cowart | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Mike Davis | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jaiveon Eaves | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter