Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Pioneers | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ade Murkey * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Joe Rosga * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Donoven Carlisle * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Tory Stewart-Miller * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Taelyr Gatlin | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jase Townsend | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Abiola Akintola | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alperen Kurnaz | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| David Nzekwesi | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Joseph Lanzi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Pyle * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 21 | - |
| C.J. Duff * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Jeremiah Usiosefe * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Gilbeck * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Hughes | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Isaac Johnson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| James Claar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter