Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Northwestern State Demons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern State Demons +3 (69-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Lee * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jayden Saddler * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Eddie Reese * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Aaron Ray * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Bryan Assie * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Sidney Umude | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 31 | - |
| Brendon Brooks | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alex Ennis | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Jones * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Laterrance Reed * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Ishmael Lane * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| DeAndre Love * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Dalin Williams * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Darian Dixon | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Hutton | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| John Norvel | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Larry Owens | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Malik Metoyer | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Vontay Ott | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jacob Guest | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Comanita | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter