Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +14 (88-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamar McKnight * | 38 | 10-15 | 3-5 | 7-10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Donte Fitzpatrick-Dorsey * | 37 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Stokley Chaffee * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Armani Chaney * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Emmanuel Egbuta * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Damarri Moore | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tripp Davis | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Michael Littlejohn | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Dave Morris | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daniel Cummings | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| DaJion Henderson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Savage * | 39 | 3-11 | 1-8 | 13-13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Taveion Hollingsworth * | 39 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Charles Bassey * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Josh Anderson * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Marek Nelson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tolu Smith | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dalano Banton | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Horton | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter