Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +4 (92-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Massinburg * | 35 | 10-15 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| J. Harris * | 32 | 3-12 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Jordan * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. McRae * | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| J. Graves * | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| N. Perkins | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Caruthers | 27 | 8-9 | 3-3 | 9-11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 20 | - |
| R. Segu | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Williams | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Turner * | 36 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| D. Frye * | 32 | 10-16 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 13 | - |
| D. Wiggins * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 11-16 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| D. Plowden * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Fields * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Lillard | 24 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Sierra | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Laster | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Uju | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Mattos | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter