Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.8% | 9.2% | -12.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -22 (42-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Buchanan * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 38 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Tevin Brown * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Brion Sanchious * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Mike Davis * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| KJ Williams | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Darnell Cowart | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Jaiveon Eaves | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Devin Gilmore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | - |
| A. Green * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 12 | - |
| K. Gamble * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| D. Sims * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Scurry * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Hawthorne | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Farquhar | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Massenburg | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Mosley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Butler Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter