Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +5 (84-79). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Cockfield * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 30 | - |
| Marquis Eaton * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Grantham Gillard * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Tristin Walley * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Shaquillo Fritz * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Canberk Kus | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Salif Boudie | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| J.J. Matthews | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Christian Willis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Malik Brevard | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darian Adams * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Alex Hicks * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 30 | - |
| Javan Johnson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 27 | - |
| B.J. Miller * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Devante Foster * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Malik Burnett | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Davion Thomas | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| KJ Simon | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zay Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter