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2019-01-12

Player statistics are only partially materialized for this game.

Model Predictions

Model Troy Trojans Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
EloData withheld: source-integrity hold
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% - โœ—
Margin 40.2% 59.8% +2.2 โœ— (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.6% 50.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 49.7% 50.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.5% 55.5% - โœ—

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -5 (85-90). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.