Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lehigh Mountain Hawks +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Cockfield * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 40 | - |
| Tristin Walley * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Grantham Gillard * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Marquis Eaton * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J.J. Matthews * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Salif Boudie | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Kobe Wilson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Christian Willis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Shaquillo Fritz | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake Scoggins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leufroy * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Lance Tejada * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Pat Andree * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Jordan Cohen * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Caleb Bennett | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Nic Lynch | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jeameril Wilson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Marques Wilson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter