Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs -8 (69-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Eaton * | 32 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ty Cockfield * | 31 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Malik Brevard * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Grantham Gillard * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J.J. Matthews * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Salif Boudie | 28 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Canberk Kus | 19 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tristin Walley | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Christian Willis | 9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kobe Wilson | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Shaquillo Fritz | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Alston | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nate Johnson * | 36 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| David Efianayi * | 35 | 8-18 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 8 | - |
| DJ Laster * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Christian Turner * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eric Jamison * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jose Perez | 27 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jaheam Cornwall | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Miller | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Justin Jenkins | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter