Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Abilene Christian Wildcats +21 (94-73). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Cockfield * | 38 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Marquis Eaton * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Grantham Gillard * | 22 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Shaquillo Fritz * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Malik Brevard * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Canberk Kus | 22 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tristin Walley | 22 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J.J. Matthews | 21 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Kobe Wilson | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jake Scoggins | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Salif Boudie | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christian Willis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Franklin * | 34 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Jaren Lewis * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 18 | - |
| B.J. Maxwell * | 24 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Payten Ricks * | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jalone Friday * | 16 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Damien Daniels | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Trey Lenox | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Joe Pleasant | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Clay Gayman | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Hayden Farquhar | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kolton Kohl | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tobias Cameron | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Paul Hiepler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chase Cobb | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter