Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -11 (83-94). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Cockfield * | 37 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Marquis Eaton * | 37 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Salif Boudie * | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Grantham Gillard * | 25 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Malik Brevard * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J.J. Matthews | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tristin Walley | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Kobe Wilson | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman * | 40 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 13-16 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 25 | - |
| JaKeenan Gant * | 35 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Justin Miller * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| P.J. Hardy * | 27 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Hayes * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Cedric Russell | 22 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Jerekius Davis | 15 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| R.J. Gladney | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter