Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.7% | 33.3% | -3.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -3 (66-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Marcus Simonds * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Devin Mitchell * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jeff Thomas * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Kane Williams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Malik Benlevi * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Josh Linder | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Damon Wilson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Tyson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| R.J. Kelly * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| R. Sikes * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Ajayi * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 37 | - |
| K. Holden * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| H. McGee | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Andrews | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Pettway | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter