Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.7% | 44.3% | -1.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -18 (57-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Warren * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| David Azore * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jabari Narcis * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Ayoub Nouhi * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Mwamba * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Edric Dennis | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Tiandre Jackson-Young | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Andres Ibarguen | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Radshad Davis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Pedro Castro | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 26 | - |
| J. Ajayi * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 31 | - |
| R.J. Kelly * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| H. McGee * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Pettway * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| R. Sikes | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Holden | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Morris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Andrews | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Dial | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter