Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | โ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | โ (9.3 off) |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +14 (77-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Peacock * | 33 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Tre'Larenz Nottingham * | 30 | 6-16 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Nijal Pearson * | 29 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | - |
| Jaylen Shead * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Eric Terry * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Quentin Scott | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alonzo Sule | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Akiem Daschner | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mason Harrell | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Shelby Adams | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Chandler Davis | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell * | 38 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Ajayi * | 37 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| R. Sikes * | 37 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - |
| H. McGee * | 37 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| K. Holden * | 27 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. Pettway | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| R.J. Kelly | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Morris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter