Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +2 (64-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Stroman * | 37 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Russell * | 36 | 9-15 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 13 | - |
| J. Gant * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| J. Miller * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Hardy * | 23 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Davis | 20 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Hayes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Gladney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nijal Pearson * | 37 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Tre'Larenz Nottingham * | 35 | 5-18 | 3-12 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Akiem Daschner * | 33 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Eric Terry * | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jaylen Shead * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Sule | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mason Harrell | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Shelby Adams | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter