Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -1 (83-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Cockfield * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 38 | - |
| Marquis Eaton * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Tristin Walley * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Grantham Gillard * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Shaquillo Fritz * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| J.J. Matthews | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Christian Willis | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Canberk Kus | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Salif Boudie | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malik Brevard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jonathan Adams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markquis Nowell * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Rayjon Tucker * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 40 | - |
| Jaizec Lottie * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Nikola Maric * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Deondre Burns | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
* = starter