Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Atlantic Owls | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +12 (86-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Forrest * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Anthony Adger * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Kevaughn Ellis * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Simeon Lepichev * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Aleksandar Zecevic * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Madiaw Niang | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Karlis Silins | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Richardson Maitre | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Xavian Stapleton | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Cedric Jackson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jhivvan Jackson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 36 | - |
| Giovanni De Nicolao * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 24 | - |
| Keaton Wallace * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 34 | - |
| Byron Frohnen * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Nick Allen * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Atem Bior | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Adokiye Iyaye | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Adrian Rodriguez | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter