Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Atlantic Owls | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Adger * | 42 | 5-17 | 4-14 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Jaylen Sebree * | 32 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jailyn Ingram * | 32 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Richardson Maitre * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Karlis Silins * | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Michael Forrest | 32 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Simeon Lepichev | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Madiaw Niang | 23 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kevaughn Ellis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cedric Jackson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aleksandar Zecevic | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Cockfield * | 46 | 9-20 | 2-7 | 14-15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 17 | - |
| Grantham Gillard * | 37 | 2-13 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Salif Boudie * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Tristin Walley * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Christian Willis * | 11 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Marquis Eaton | 41 | 5-17 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Malik Brevard | 37 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| J.J. Matthews | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kobe Wilson | 6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter