Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +16 (73-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted McCree * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Brooks DeBisschop * | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Cameron Shelton * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Hines * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Bernie Andre | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Nik Mains | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Luke Avdalovic | 18 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Davon Bolton | 17 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Chris Bowling | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Fuller | 25 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Damion Squire | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Garrison Goode * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| TJ Shorts * | 31 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| A.J. John * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Siler Schneider * | 21 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Joe Mooney | 21 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Rogers Printup | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Stefan Gonzalez | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Neufeld | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter