Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +16 (73-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McCree * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| B. DeBisschop * | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | - |
| C. Shelton * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. Hines * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| B. Andre | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| N. Mains | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Avdalovic | 18 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Bolton | 17 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| C. Bowling | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fuller | 25 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Squire | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| G. Goode * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| T. Shorts II * | 31 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| A.J. John * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Schneider * | 21 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| J. Mooney | 21 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| R. Printup | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Gonzalez | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Neufeld | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter