Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Incarnate Word Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.8% | 10.2% | -12.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Incarnate Word Cardinals -26 (64-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Davis * | 31 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Jonah Radebaugh * | 27 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Sanders * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Bodie Hume * | 19 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Kai Edwards * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Trent Harris | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Sam Masten | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Johnatan Reyes | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Matej Drgon | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matt Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Jockuch | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Incarnate Word Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Taylor * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Cody Graham * | 33 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Charles Brown * | 9 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Jorden Kite * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Augustine Ene | 35 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Christian Peevy | 24 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Caruso | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bryce Davis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter