Model Predictions
| Model | North Alabama Lions | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +19 (77-58). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
North Alabama Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendarius Smith * | 35 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Kendall Stafford * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Christian Agnew * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Cameron Diggs * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Logan Windeler * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jamari Blackmon | 36 | 3-14 | 2-10 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Emanuel Littles | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Tavon King | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Aleksa Matic | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Cantavio Dutreil | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordon Varnado * | 35 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 24 | - |
| B.J. Miller * | 35 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Javan Johnson * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Darian Adams * | 31 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Alex Hicks * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Charles Norman | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Zay Williams | 9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Spencer Rodgers | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Devante Foster | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| KJ Simon | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Eric Walker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Tuck | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Atakan Sahinkaya | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter