Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles +8 (88-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wajid Aminu * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 34 | - |
| Ivan Gandia-Rosa * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Noah Horchler * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 31 | - |
| J.T. Escobar * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Garrett Sams * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Carter Hendricksen | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Ezekiel Balogun | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Burkhardt | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Brian Coffey II | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Trip Day | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schadrac Casimir * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 39 | - |
| Troy Baxter * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Christian Carlyle * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 24 | - |
| Brian Thomas * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Zach Scott * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Caleb Catto | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Decardo Day | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Dinero Mercurius | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| RaySean Scott | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter