Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (17.7 off) |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls +24 (83-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahjai Teague * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Tayler Persons * | 31 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Mallers * | 30 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Austin Nehls * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Trey Moses * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Thompson | 25 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K.J. Walton | 20 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Blake Huggins | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Zach Gunn | 14 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Massinburg * | 31 | 6-13 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Jeremy Harris * | 26 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jayvon Graves * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Davonta Jordan * | 23 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Montell McRae * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Nick Perkins | 23 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Dontay Caruthers | 21 | 8-10 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Ronaldo Segu | 16 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jeenathan Williams | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dominic Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brock Bertram | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tra'Von Fagan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter