Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +1 (79-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Moses * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | - |
| Tayler Persons * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 36 | - |
| Kyle Mallers * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K.J. Walton * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Tahjai Teague * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Zach Gunn | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Austin Nehls | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Josh Thompson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Dylan Frye * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Demajeo Wiggins * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 21 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Caleb Fields * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Antwon Lillard | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Michael Laster | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jeffrey Uju | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marlon Sierra | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tayler Mattos | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Matiss Kulackovskis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter