Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +8.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +18 (76-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevie Jordan * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Durham * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| N. Norton * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| N. McGlynn * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 29 | - |
| Tyere Marshall * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 31 | - |
| Dimencio Vaughn * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| B. Ellingson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Allen * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Murphy * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Frederick Scott | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Kimar Williams | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Murphy | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| N. Thomas | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ajiri Ogemuno-Johnson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Robbins | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Pilipovic | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ahmad Gilbert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devine Eke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Wilkins * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Garrett Sturtz | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
* = starter