Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.2% | 30.8% | -4.4 | ✓ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks -24 (65-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevie Jordan * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | - |
| Jordan Allen * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 27 | - |
| Dimencio Vaughn * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Anthony Durham * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Tyere Marshall * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Kimar Williams | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Frederick Scott | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Devine Eke | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Ajiri Ogemuno-Johnson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Ahmad Gilbert | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Karamoko Cisse | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Noah Buono | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ryan O'Leary | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romone Saunders * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | - |
| AJ Sumbry * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Nigel Jackson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jonathan Norfleet * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jeff Coulanges * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Elijah Davis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Plummer | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tim Graham | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Devin Liggeons | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tyrone Nesby | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Chance Anderson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter