Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Crutcher * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Jordan Davis * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Ryan Mikesell * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Josh Cunningham * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Trey Landers * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Obi Toppin | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Dwayne Cohill | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Riante Jenkins * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Marcus Evans * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Sean Mobley * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Issac Vann * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 22 | - |
| Marcus Santos-Silva * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Mike'l Simms | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| V. Williams | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Malik Crowfield | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Corey Douglas | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Michael Gilmore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter