Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | โ |
| Margin | 8.2% | 91.8% | +13.3 | โ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | โ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +5 (65-60). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Gomez * | 38 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Michael Ou * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Lamine Diane * | 35 | 9-23 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Darius Brown * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Gottfried * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Rodney Henderson Jr. | 27 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jared Pearre | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen McDaniels * | 35 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Devin Watson * | 32 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Hemsley * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Schakel * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Matt Mitchell * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Nathan Mensah | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Adam Seiko | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Aguek Arop | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nolan Narain | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter