Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Washington State Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.6 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington State Cougars +14 (84-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Fields * | 31 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Mark Crowe * | 30 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| K. Niziol * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Marcellus Garrick * | 26 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tuukka Jaakkola | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Junior Ballard | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daxton Carr | 13 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Job Alexander | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Karlis Garoza | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jared Rice | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Franks * | 36 | 12-22 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Viont'e Daniels * | 33 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ahmed Ali * | 31 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Isaiah Wade * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| CJ Elleby * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Carter Skaggs | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Arinze Chidom | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jervae Robinson | 9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Marvin Cannon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Aljaz Kunc | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Davante Cooper | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Pollard | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter