Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tre Scott * | 39 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Jarron Cumberland * | 36 | 5-18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -4 | - |
| Keith Williams * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Justin Jenifer * | 27 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Nysier Brooks * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cane Broome | 23 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Mamoudou Diarra | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Trevor Moore | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Eliel Nsoseme | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rashawn Fredericks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Taylor * | 38 | 8-19 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Terrell Allen * | 33 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Aubrey Dawkins * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Collin Smith * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Dayon Griffin | 23 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Chad Brown | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Frank Bertz | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter