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2019-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 22.2% 77.8% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% -
Efficiency 77.2% 22.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Log Adjusted 51.8% 48.2% -

Actual: UCF Knights +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Scott * 39 9-15 2-3 0-1 9 3 1 0 1 20 17 -
J. Cumberland * 36 5-18 0-3 0-1 4 5 0 0 5 10 -4 -
K. Williams * 27 2-8 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 4 0 -
J. Jenifer * 27 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
N. Brooks * 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Broome 23 3-10 2-6 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 8 0 -
M. Diarra 14 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 2 1 0 3 7 -
T. Moore 11 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
E. Nsoseme 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
R. Fredericks 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B.J. Taylor * 38 8-19 3-7 3-5 6 1 0 0 0 22 10 -
T. Allen * 33 1-3 1-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 3 5 4 -
A. Dawkins * 27 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 1 -
T. Fall * 24 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 3 1 10 13 -
C. Smith * 22 2-8 0-0 2-4 7 1 0 1 5 6 2 -
D. Griffin 23 3-7 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 1 -
C. Brown 19 1-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 3 1 3 10 -
F. Bertz 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 0 2 -

* = starter