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2019-03-02

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 13.2% 86.8% -
Bradley-Terry 26.0% 74.0% -
Margin 6.4% 93.6% +14.8 (19.8 off)
Pythagorean 25.7% 74.3% -
Efficiency 3.8% 96.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.7% 84.3% -
Log Adjusted 15.6% 84.4% -

Actual: Houston Cougars -5 (64-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Allen * 37 1-6 1-5 0-0 3 6 4 0 4 3 6 -
A. Dawkins * 37 4-10 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 11 2 -
B.J. Taylor * 35 1-6 1-4 8-8 1 3 0 0 1 11 8 -
C. Smith * 32 8-15 1-2 4-5 7 3 0 0 1 21 15 -
T. Fall * 32 6-9 0-0 1-5 10 0 1 0 1 13 14 -
D. Griffin 15 2-2 1-1 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 8 10 -
C. Brown 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
F. Bertz 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Davis Jr. * 39 7-13 2-5 3-6 3 2 2 0 0 19 13 -
A. Brooks * 27 3-8 1-5 0-0 9 1 1 0 0 7 10 -
G. Robinson Jr. * 24 4-9 2-5 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 11 5 -
F. White Jr. * 23 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -
B. Brady * 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Jarreau 24 4-8 1-1 6-9 2 1 0 0 3 15 7 -
C. Harris Jr. 15 1-2 0-0 1-5 3 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
N. Hinton 12 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
C. Alley Jr. 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
B. Gresham 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter